[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"site-config":3,"event:ufc-336-tbd-vs-tbd":18},{"site_name":4,"site_title":5,"site_tagline":6,"site_logo_url":7,"allow_register":8,"default_theme":9,"weekly_highlight":7,"weekly_highlight_en":7,"locales":10,"official":13,"disclaimer_zh":14,"disclaimer_en":15,"legal_operator_name":16,"legal_contact_email":7,"icp_license":17,"wechat_web_login_enabled":13,"wechat_miniapp_login_enabled":8},"UFC.ooo","UFC拳迷圈｜UFC 中文赛事、选手、数据与社区","小程序：MMA格斗志",null,true,"light",[11,12],"zh","en",false,"独立格斗资讯与粉丝社区，非 UFC 官方网站。","Independent combat-sports news and fan community. Not affiliated with UFC.","广州量维智能安全技术有限公司","粤ICP备2026129121号",{"event":19,"fight_card":42,"venue":7,"location_raw":27,"viewing":48,"fights":49,"followed":13,"reminder_enabled":13},{"id":20,"slug":21,"name":22,"name_zh":23,"date_utc":24,"live_start_at":24,"timezone":25,"status":26,"city":27,"location_zh":28,"poster":29,"main_a_avatar":31,"main_b_avatar":35,"main_a_name_en":34,"main_a_name_zh":33,"main_b_name_en":38,"main_b_name_zh":37,"data_quality":39,"target":40},1590,"ufc-336-tbd-vs-tbd","UFC 336: Joshua Van VS Manel Kape","UFC 336：约书亚·范 VS 马内尔·卡佩","2027-01-31T02:00:00Z","UTC","upcoming","Scotiabank Arena Toronto ON Canada","多伦多斯科舍银行体育馆，加拿大安大略省",{"url":30,"thumb_url":7,"width":7,"height":7,"alt_zh":23,"alt_en":22},"https:\u002F\u002Fmedia.ufcfans.cn\u002Fobjects\u002F99\u002F9956e89e79ecf96551b33c000d5561eac9c57e37435c0c926b87ee8c09b83250.jpg",{"url":32,"thumb_url":7,"width":7,"height":7,"alt_zh":33,"alt_en":34},"https:\u002F\u002Fmedia.ufcfans.cn\u002Fobjects\u002Fa8\u002Fa8163f58080233e0f30445dd6a7fd8a27de6010f3478755a8a4b725021910bdf.jpg","约书亚·范","Joshua Van",{"url":36,"thumb_url":7,"width":7,"height":7,"alt_zh":37,"alt_en":38},"https:\u002F\u002Fmedia.ufcfans.cn\u002Fobjects\u002F93\u002F93549f922d80fc9cf928f4ffb0cbdb473c59cf7b721d17d97451c95fbd4a28fe.jpg","马内尔·卡佩","Manel Kape","complete",{"kind":41,"ref":21,"fight_id":7},"event",{"url":43,"thumb_url":7,"width":44,"height":45,"alt_zh":46,"alt_en":47},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.ufcfans.cn\u002Fapi\u002Fv2\u002Fevents\u002F1590\u002Ffight-card.png?v=62328b86c9d6f8bc263e78126f86119225b9eeca947bf19654b541dc7956bc06",1200,968,"UFC 336：约书亚·范 VS 马内尔·卡佩 全阵容战卡","UFC 336: Joshua Van VS Manel Kape full fight card",{},[50,131],{"id":51,"bout_order":52,"weight_class":53,"weight_class_zh":54,"is_main_event":8,"is_title_fight":8,"fighter_a":55,"fighter_b":71,"fighter_a_name":34,"fighter_b_name":38,"result":83,"bout_status":84,"official_fight_id":85,"result_source":7,"result_updated_at":7,"method":7,"method_zh":7,"end_round":7,"end_time":7,"odds_a":86,"odds_b":87,"favor_a_pct":88,"favor_b_pct":89,"market_odds":90,"prediction":96,"predictions":109,"pick_distribution":129,"my_pick":7,"my_pick_detail":7,"prediction_market":130},62808,0,"Flyweight","蝇量级",{"id":56,"slug":57,"name_en":34,"name_zh":33,"nickname":58,"weight_class":53,"weight_class_zh":7,"record":59,"country":60,"country_zh":61,"country_code":62,"is_chinese":13,"status":63,"ufc_profile_status":64,"is_champion":13,"recently_competed":13,"avatar_status":67,"profile_sync_status":39,"avatar":68,"target":69},3960,"joshua-van","The Fearless","18-2-0","Myanmar","缅甸","MM","active",{"value":63,"raw":65,"observed_at":66,"fresh":8},"Active","2026-11-04T06:36:49.781341Z","verified",{"url":32,"thumb_url":7,"width":7,"height":7,"alt_zh":33,"alt_en":34},{"kind":70,"ref":57,"fight_id":7},"fighter",{"id":72,"slug":73,"name_en":38,"name_zh":37,"nickname":74,"weight_class":53,"weight_class_zh":7,"record":75,"country":76,"country_zh":77,"country_code":78,"is_chinese":13,"status":63,"ufc_profile_status":79,"is_champion":13,"recently_competed":13,"avatar_status":67,"profile_sync_status":39,"avatar":81,"target":82},1891,"manel-kape","StarBoy","23-7-0","Angola","安哥拉","AO",{"value":63,"raw":65,"observed_at":80,"fresh":8},"2026-11-04T05:02:45.638173Z",{"url":36,"thumb_url":7,"width":7,"height":7,"alt_zh":37,"alt_en":38},{"kind":70,"ref":73,"fight_id":7},"pending","scheduled","13231","-130","+110",54.3,45.7,{"american_a":86,"american_b":87,"raw_implied_a_pct":91,"raw_implied_b_pct":92,"bookmaker_margin_pct":93,"market_a_pct":88,"market_b_pct":89,"source":94,"updated_at":95},56.5,47.6,4.1,"ufc.com","2026-11-04T13:17:09.906854Z",{"id":97,"model_name":98,"model_icon_url":99,"predicted_winner":100,"fighter_a_win_pct":101,"fighter_b_win_pct":102,"confidence":103,"analysis_zh":104,"analysis_en":105,"data_at":106,"prompt_version":107,"method_dist":108,"version":107,"sample_size":7,"uncertainty":7},490,"GPT","https:\u002F\u002Fmedia.ufcfans.cn\u002Fbranding\u002Fai-models\u002Fopenai.svg","fighter_a",62,38,0.68,"范的优势在于更年轻、职业战绩更好，且所列最近8场UFC全胜并已是蝇量级冠军；有效打击量显著高于卡佩，命中率也略占优。卡佩的臂展与腿长更长，击倒威胁更高，近期同样连胜且终结能力强，因此是明显危险的一方。范的抱摔成功率缺失，无法完整比较地面能力；综合看范略占优，但不宜给出过高把握。","Van has the edge in age, overall record, champion status, and recent UFC results (8-0 in the listed sample). His significant-strike volume is substantially higher and his accuracy is slightly better. Kape has longer reach and leg reach, a higher knockdown rate, and strong recent finishing form, making him a serious threat. Van's takedown accuracy is missing, limiting assessment of the grappling matchup. Van is favored, but the matchup warrants moderate rather than high confidence.","2026-10-26T16:26:17.762720Z","v20261007-input-v3",{},[110,111,121],{"id":97,"model_name":98,"model_icon_url":99,"predicted_winner":100,"fighter_a_win_pct":101,"fighter_b_win_pct":102,"confidence":103,"analysis_zh":104,"analysis_en":105,"data_at":106,"prompt_version":107},{"id":112,"model_name":113,"model_icon_url":114,"predicted_winner":100,"fighter_a_win_pct":115,"fighter_b_win_pct":116,"confidence":117,"analysis_zh":118,"analysis_en":119,"data_at":120,"prompt_version":107},489,"Claude","https:\u002F\u002Fmedia.ufcfans.cn\u002Fbranding\u002Fai-models\u002Fclaude.svg",60,40,0.58,"范是现任蝇量级冠军，25岁，近8场UFC全胜，其中包括三场冠军战连胜（两胜潘托哈、TKO平良达郎），并有五回合作战经验。打击输出8.26次\u002F分钟，命中率57.6%，均处于级别顶尖水平，平均比赛时间也更长，体能和节奏优势明显。卡佩排名第2，近4场全部KO获胜（含TKO罗伊瓦尔），击倒率0.97次\u002F15分钟更高，臂展多约7.6厘米，每分钟被击中3.88次，明显少于范的5.83次。南派站架和反击力量对频繁被击中的范构成真实的终结风险。双方地面进攻都不多，防摔率接近，比赛大概率以站立对抗为主。范的输出量、冠军级对手质量和长回合优势更可靠，但卡佩的力量威胁较大。另外，本场重量级别字段缺失，且非冠军战，判断把握相应降低。","Van is the reigning flyweight champion. He is 25 and 8-0 in his last eight UFC bouts, including three straight title wins (Pantoja twice, a TKO of Taira), and he has five-round experience. His output of 8.26 SLpM at 57.6% accuracy ranks near the top of the division, and his longer average fight time points to an edge in cardio and pace. Kape, ranked No. 2, has four straight KO wins, including a TKO of Royval. He has a higher knockdown rate (0.97 per 15 min), about 7.6 cm more reach, and absorbs far less (3.88 vs Van's 5.83 per minute). His southpaw counter power is a real finishing threat against the often-hit Van. Neither man grapples much, and their takedown defense is similar, so this should be decided on the feet. Van's volume, championship-level opposition and long-fight edge make him the more reliable pick, but Kape's power is a serious danger. The weight class field is missing and this is a non-title bout, which lowers confidence.","2026-10-26T16:26:09.409602Z",{"id":122,"model_name":123,"model_icon_url":124,"predicted_winner":100,"fighter_a_win_pct":101,"fighter_b_win_pct":102,"confidence":125,"analysis_zh":126,"analysis_en":127,"data_at":128,"prompt_version":107},488,"DeepSeek","https:\u002F\u002Fmedia.ufcfans.cn\u002Fobjects\u002F70\u002F707b1d66db538a9f4cf473479682cc8acb4f934a9f0a360cf1e3eb65914eead2.jpg",0.65,"约书亚·范是现任蝇量级冠军，近8场UFC全胜，含两次击败潘托哈、KO泰拉，近期赛程含金量高。其有效打击量8.26\u002F分钟、打击命中率57.6%、击倒威胁0.7\u002F15分钟，雷达打击量99.2百分位，能以高频压制和持续输出累积回合。卡佩拥有7.6厘米臂展优势，击倒威胁0.97\u002F15分钟更高，近期4连胜且均为KO，左架反击有终结比赛能力；防摔79%也略优。但卡佩打击量4.68\u002F分钟明显较低，抱摔成功率仅20%，面对范的节奏可能被动。范的防摔75%和年龄优势支持其抵御重击并赢下多数回合。范缺抱摔成功率数据，且卡佩重拳使风险存在，故把握中等。预测范以判定或后程KO获胜。","Van enters as flyweight champion with an 8-0 recent UFC run, including two wins over Pantoja and a KO of Taira. He lands 8.26 sig strikes\u002Fmin, 57.6% accuracy, and owns a 99.2 percentile striking-volume radar, allowing him to pressure and bank rounds. Kape has a 7.6 cm reach edge, higher knockdown threat (0.97\u002F15 min, 93.5 percentile), a four-fight KO streak, and slightly better takedown defense (79%). However, Kape's volume (4.68\u002Fmin) and takedown accuracy (20%) are lower, so Van's pace and youth should control most exchanges. Van's missing takedown-accuracy data and Kape's power keep confidence moderate. Pick Van by decision or late KO.","2026-10-26T16:25:56.765020Z",{"fighter_a":52,"fighter_b":52,"total":52,"fighter_a_pct":52,"fighter_b_pct":52},{"pickable":8,"locked_reason":7,"odds_updated_at":95,"source":94},{"id":132,"bout_order":133,"weight_class":134,"weight_class_zh":135,"is_main_event":13,"is_title_fight":8,"fighter_a":136,"fighter_b":152,"fighter_a_name":139,"fighter_b_name":155,"result":83,"bout_status":84,"official_fight_id":166,"result_source":7,"result_updated_at":7,"method":7,"method_zh":7,"end_round":7,"end_time":7,"odds_a":167,"odds_b":168,"favor_a_pct":169,"favor_b_pct":170,"market_odds":171,"prediction":175,"predictions":185,"pick_distribution":203,"my_pick":7,"my_pick_detail":7,"prediction_market":204},62809,1,"Welterweight Interim","次中量级临时冠军赛",{"id":137,"slug":138,"name_en":139,"name_zh":140,"nickname":141,"weight_class":142,"weight_class_zh":7,"record":143,"country":144,"country_zh":145,"country_code":146,"is_chinese":13,"status":63,"ufc_profile_status":147,"is_champion":13,"recently_competed":13,"avatar_status":67,"profile_sync_status":39,"avatar":149,"target":151},3052,"carlos-prates","Carlos Prates","卡洛斯·普拉特斯","The Nightmare","Welterweight","24-7-0","Brazil","巴西","BR",{"value":63,"raw":65,"observed_at":148,"fresh":8},"2026-11-04T05:08:28.755910Z",{"url":150,"thumb_url":7,"width":7,"height":7,"alt_zh":140,"alt_en":139},"https:\u002F\u002Fmedia.ufcfans.cn\u002Fobjects\u002F15\u002F158e63c4c708a0982c80750730b12677e0391e13caf3d23ec325b5ebcdd6a6b0.jpg",{"kind":70,"ref":138,"fight_id":7},{"id":153,"slug":154,"name_en":155,"name_zh":156,"nickname":7,"weight_class":142,"weight_class_zh":7,"record":157,"country":158,"country_zh":159,"country_code":160,"is_chinese":13,"status":63,"ufc_profile_status":161,"is_champion":13,"recently_competed":13,"avatar_status":67,"profile_sync_status":39,"avatar":163,"target":165},2591,"michael-morales","Michael Morales","迈克尔·莫拉莱斯","19-0-0","Ecuador","厄瓜多尔","EC",{"value":63,"raw":65,"observed_at":162,"fresh":8},"2026-11-04T05:07:51.106635Z",{"url":164,"thumb_url":7,"width":7,"height":7,"alt_zh":156,"alt_en":155},"https:\u002F\u002Fmedia.ufcfans.cn\u002Fobjects\u002F6a\u002F6a1d43a0d7f7f9d077c9a5928f0f6f31d29c3c79d3939e99fdd16d86dd7026e4.jpg",{"kind":70,"ref":154,"fight_id":7},"13232","-150","+125",57.4,42.6,{"american_a":167,"american_b":168,"raw_implied_a_pct":115,"raw_implied_b_pct":172,"bookmaker_margin_pct":173,"market_a_pct":169,"market_b_pct":170,"source":94,"updated_at":174},44.4,4.4,"2026-11-04T13:17:09.909628Z",{"id":176,"model_name":98,"model_icon_url":99,"predicted_winner":177,"fighter_a_win_pct":178,"fighter_b_win_pct":179,"confidence":180,"analysis_zh":181,"analysis_en":182,"data_at":183,"prompt_version":107,"method_dist":184,"version":107,"sample_size":7,"uncertainty":7},493,"fighter_b",44,56,0.59,"莫拉莱斯以19胜0负、近7场全胜及较年轻的年龄占优；有效打击量更高，防守率更好且每分钟受击更少，具备持续输出优势。普拉特斯近期7胜1负、命中率和击倒率更突出，KO威胁是主要变数。其第2排名略高于莫拉莱斯第3，但不足以抵消后者更稳健的数据。两人抱摔成功率缺失，后台技能评分也未提供，判断把握有限。","Morales has the edge in his unbeaten 19-0 record, seven recent wins, younger age, higher significant-strike volume, stronger striking defense, and fewer strikes absorbed per minute. Prates is a serious counter-threat: he is 7-1 in the listed recent fights and leads in striking accuracy and knockdown rate. His No. 2 ranking is slightly above Morales at No. 3, but Morales’s steadier output and defense tip the pick. Takedown accuracy and manual skill scores are unavailable, limiting confidence.","2026-10-26T16:27:04.299640Z",{},[186,187,195],{"id":176,"model_name":98,"model_icon_url":99,"predicted_winner":177,"fighter_a_win_pct":178,"fighter_b_win_pct":179,"confidence":180,"analysis_zh":181,"analysis_en":182,"data_at":183,"prompt_version":107},{"id":188,"model_name":113,"model_icon_url":114,"predicted_winner":177,"fighter_a_win_pct":189,"fighter_b_win_pct":190,"confidence":191,"analysis_zh":192,"analysis_en":193,"data_at":194,"prompt_version":107},492,46,54,0.54,"判断为接近对局，略倾向莫拉莱斯。\n\n莫拉莱斯的依据：\n1. 战绩19-0，UFC 7战全胜，27岁，比普拉特斯年轻6岁。\n2. 防守数据更好：打击防守率54%对48%，每分钟被击中3.26次对4.3次。\n3. 进攻量更高：每分钟有效打击5.68次对4.41次。\n4. 防摔率90%，并有一定抱摔能力（每15分钟1.04次），手段更多样。\n5. 近期一回合KO布雷迪和伯恩斯，状态正盛。\n\n普拉特斯的依据：\n1. 排名第2，近期KO了德拉·马达莱纳、爱德华兹和尼尔，对手强度更高。\n2. 命中率54.7%，每15分钟击倒2.33次，终结威胁极强。\n3. 近15场赢14场。\n4. 两人臂展相近，均为站立KO型选手，任何一方都可能一击终结。\n\n不确定性：\n- 本场量级字段缺失。\n- 抱摔成功率缺失。\n- 无后台技能评分。\n因此置信度较低。","A close fight with a slight lean to Morales.\n\nCase for Morales:\n1. He is 19-0, 7-0 in the UFC, and six years younger (27).\n2. He has better defense: 54% striking defense vs 48%, and absorbs 3.26 strikes\u002Fmin vs 4.3.\n3. He has higher output: 5.68 significant strikes landed\u002Fmin vs 4.41.\n4. His 90% takedown defense and 1.04 takedowns per 15 min give him more options.\n5. He is coming off first-round KOs of Brady and Burns.\n\nCase for Prates:\n1. He is ranked #2 and has KO'd Della Maddalena, Edwards and Neal, a tougher recent schedule.\n2. He has elite 54.7% accuracy and 2.33 knockdowns per 15 min.\n3. He has won 14 of his last 15.\n4. Reach is near even and both are KO strikers, so either man can end it with one shot.\n\nUncertainty:\n- The weight class field for this fight is missing.\n- Takedown accuracy is missing.\n- No manual skill scores are provided.\nConfidence is therefore modest.","2026-10-26T16:26:54.299014Z",{"id":196,"model_name":123,"model_icon_url":124,"predicted_winner":177,"fighter_a_win_pct":197,"fighter_b_win_pct":198,"confidence":199,"analysis_zh":200,"analysis_en":201,"data_at":202,"prompt_version":107},491,45,55,0.62,"莫拉莱斯（fighter_b）在多项指标略优：有效打击量5.68\u002F分钟、打击防守54%、吸收3.26\u002F分钟，均优于普拉特斯；防摔90%且抱摔量1.04\u002F15分钟，能主动改变节奏。普拉特斯重击威胁和命中率更高（击倒威胁97.6、命中率54.7%），且近期击败爱德华兹、JDM，KO能力极强。但普拉特斯打击防守仅48%、防摔78%，面对年轻且不败的莫拉莱斯，若被拖入混合节奏会吃亏。双方都缺抱摔成功率与人工技能评分，且赛事标题与对阵不一致，因此把握有限。模型略偏向莫拉莱斯。","Morales (fighter_b) holds small edges in striking volume (5.68 vs 4.41\u002Fmin), striking defense (54% vs 48%), absorbed strikes (3.26 vs 4.3\u002Fmin), takedown volume (1.04 vs 0.18\u002F15) and takedown defense (90% vs 78%). Prates has better accuracy (54.7% vs 49%) and knockdown threat (97.6 vs 95.6), with recent KO wins over Edwards and Della Maddalena. However, Prates' lower striking defense and limited wrestling make him more vulnerable if Morales mixes takedowns and pressure. Morales is younger, undefeated, and more defensively sound. Missing takedown accuracy, null manual skill scores, and event-title mismatch reduce confidence. Slight lean Morales.","2026-10-26T16:26:41.470346Z",{"fighter_a":52,"fighter_b":52,"total":52,"fighter_a_pct":52,"fighter_b_pct":52},{"pickable":8,"locked_reason":7,"odds_updated_at":174,"source":94}]